| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
204 |
0.994 |
$203.02 |
$3.02 |
+1.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.655 |
$131.00 |
$31.00 |
+31.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
108 |
0.994 |
$106.83 |
$6.83 |
+6.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
108 |
0.982 |
$105.59 |
$5.59 |
+5.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
104 |
0.981 |
$101.97 |
$1.98 |
+2.0% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
No |
103 |
0.700 |
$71.99 |
$1.99 |
+2.8% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
67 |
0.830 |
$55.33 |
$5.33 |
+10.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
62 |
0.865 |
$53.40 |
$3.40 |
+6.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.850 |
$51.24 |
$1.24 |
+2.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
58 |
0.845 |
$49.13 |
$-0.87 |
-1.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
59 |
0.815 |
$47.94 |
$-2.06 |
-4.1% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.823 |
$33.21 |
$3.21 |
+10.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
48 |
0.675 |
$32.66 |
$2.66 |
+8.9% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
270 |
0.086 |
$23.11 |
$3.11 |
+15.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
36 |
0.595 |
$21.68 |
$1.68 |
+8.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.625 |
$21.55 |
$1.55 |
+7.8% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
94 |
0.209 |
$19.76 |
$-0.24 |
-1.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
151 |
0.117 |
$17.57 |
$-8.97 |
-33.8% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
385 |
0.044 |
$17.12 |
$-2.88 |
-14.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
47 |
0.278 |
$12.91 |
$2.91 |
+29.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
86 |
0.135 |
$11.59 |
$1.59 |
+15.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
24 |
0.460 |
$11.02 |
$1.02 |
+10.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
50 |
0.184 |
$9.17 |
$-4.64 |
-33.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
11 |
0.675 |
$7.67 |
$2.67 |
+53.4% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
71 |
0.085 |
$6.01 |
$-3.89 |
-39.3% |