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Trader leaderboard/lostmansoul

lostmansoul

0x79808123fe386468ca44da3579929940a844fead
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$55
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-19.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
1W / 2L · 39 open
Win Return (30d)
31%
13W / 29L
Trades (30d)
42
across 8 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$18.49
avg win $5 · loss $30
Profit Factor
0.08
$5 won / $60 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $634 · all-time $507,289

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.0% 3W/3L 23 $9,697
🏛 Politics 3 $2,236
💵 Economy 1 $896
⚽ Sports 1 $18

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 1,815 0.978 $1,773.82 $-4.54 -0.3%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 1,500 0.886 $1,329.76 $-5.75 -0.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 1,526 0.723 $1,102.29 $2.29 +0.2%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 1,040 0.961 $998.87 $-1.13 -0.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 685 0.925 $633.42 $3.42 +0.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 634 0.963 $609.84 $9.84 +1.6%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 642 0.895 $574.36 $12.63 +2.2%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No 417 0.820 $341.67 $41.67 +13.9%
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes 800 0.125 $99.99 $-4.00 -3.8%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 210 0.460 $96.44 $11.44 +13.5%
Will Florida Panthers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? Yes 320 0.215 $68.80 $11.70 +20.5%
Will the Ottawa Senators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes 1,000 0.019 $19.50 $1.50 +8.3%
Will Florida Panthers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? No 15 0.785 $11.58 $-0.00 -0.0%
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.810 $4.05 $0.45 +12.5%
Will Toronto Maple Leafs be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? Yes 43 0.045 $1.93 $-2.79 -59.1%