| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
15 |
0.830 |
$12.18 |
$9.39 |
+336.8% |
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
12 |
0.995 |
$11.94 |
$8.82 |
+282.7% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.950 |
$6.54 |
$6.37 |
+3697.9% |
| Will Disney say "World Cup" during earnings call? |
Yes |
13 |
0.460 |
$5.77 |
$5.47 |
+1815.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
6 |
0.971 |
$5.46 |
$0.47 |
+9.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
15 |
0.353 |
$5.30 |
$-0.34 |
-6.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.993 |
$4.96 |
$0.36 |
+7.8% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
500 |
0.009 |
$4.75 |
$-0.25 |
-5.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.855 |
$4.69 |
$-0.30 |
-6.0% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.935 |
$4.67 |
$0.02 |
+0.5% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.913 |
$4.57 |
$3.19 |
+232.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
5 |
0.865 |
$4.33 |
$0.23 |
+5.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.845 |
$4.22 |
$0.48 |
+12.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.823 |
$4.11 |
$3.50 |
+574.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.440 |
$4.04 |
$0.73 |
+22.2% |
| Central Espanol FC vs. Liverpool Montevideo: O/U 0.5 |
Under |
8 |
0.500 |
$4.03 |
$3.70 |
+1150.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
Yes |
79 |
0.044 |
$3.48 |
$-1.03 |
-22.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.675 |
$3.38 |
$0.07 |
+2.3% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.620 |
$3.10 |
$-1.23 |
-28.4% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
150 |
0.021 |
$3.08 |
$0.38 |
+13.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.935 |
$2.93 |
$0.23 |
+8.7% |
| Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
Yes |
15 |
0.177 |
$2.72 |
$1.65 |
+153.6% |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? |
$3,000 |
5 |
0.455 |
$2.27 |
$-0.38 |
-14.2% |
| Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? |
Yes |
5 |
0.440 |
$2.20 |
$-1.10 |
-33.3% |
| Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? |
Yes |
10 |
0.190 |
$1.90 |
$-1.30 |
-40.6% |