| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
834 |
0.982 |
$818.84 |
$18.84 |
+2.4% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? |
Yes |
409 |
0.670 |
$273.84 |
$-8.15 |
-2.9% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
268 |
0.885 |
$236.99 |
$5.13 |
+2.2% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
221 |
0.980 |
$216.40 |
$0.27 |
+0.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
204 |
0.963 |
$196.59 |
$1.36 |
+0.7% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
210 |
0.865 |
$181.37 |
$6.82 |
+3.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
147 |
0.905 |
$133.18 |
$2.21 |
+1.7% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? |
Yes |
201 |
0.465 |
$93.54 |
$11.45 |
+13.9% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
84 |
0.980 |
$82.26 |
$-0.55 |
-0.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
253 |
0.298 |
$75.53 |
$5.38 |
+7.7% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? |
Yes |
232 |
0.310 |
$72.01 |
$-3.12 |
-4.2% |
| Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? |
Yes |
204 |
0.245 |
$50.04 |
$-14.72 |
-22.7% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
No |
52 |
0.795 |
$41.46 |
$20.32 |
+96.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026? |
No |
38 |
0.965 |
$36.58 |
$-0.88 |
-2.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
63 |
0.515 |
$32.38 |
$0.31 |
+1.0% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
No |
36 |
0.893 |
$31.75 |
$-2.28 |
-6.7% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? |
No |
29 |
0.996 |
$28.56 |
$-0.03 |
-0.1% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
27 |
0.830 |
$22.63 |
$1.72 |
+8.2% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.615 |
$16.85 |
$-0.92 |
-5.2% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? |
Yes |
97 |
0.165 |
$16.03 |
$-4.45 |
-21.7% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
Yes |
24 |
0.210 |
$5.03 |
$0.48 |
+10.5% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? |
No |
13 |
0.330 |
$4.17 |
$0.25 |
+6.5% |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July? |
No |
4 |
0.658 |
$2.50 |
$0.05 |
+2.2% |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July? |
No |
2 |
0.815 |
$1.55 |
$0.14 |
+10.1% |