| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
119 |
0.997 |
$118.63 |
$18.87 |
+18.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
87 |
0.982 |
$85.32 |
$5.42 |
+6.8% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
80 |
0.907 |
$72.89 |
$-1.37 |
-1.8% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group |
T1 |
115 |
0.515 |
$59.36 |
$-0.58 |
-1.0% |
| Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage |
BESTIA |
66 |
0.895 |
$58.92 |
$-0.23 |
-0.4% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
79 |
0.715 |
$56.51 |
$19.36 |
+52.1% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group |
Hanwha Life Esports |
101 |
0.515 |
$52.18 |
$-7.60 |
-12.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
299 |
0.135 |
$40.39 |
$-4.49 |
-10.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
82 |
0.485 |
$39.82 |
$-4.98 |
-11.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
281 |
0.135 |
$37.97 |
$-7.03 |
-15.6% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? |
No |
39 |
0.795 |
$31.22 |
$-5.72 |
-15.5% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,258 |
0.024 |
$30.19 |
$-37.95 |
-55.7% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
33 |
0.915 |
$29.93 |
$0.49 |
+1.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
32 |
0.935 |
$29.60 |
$-0.16 |
-0.5% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.055 |
$27.50 |
$-12.50 |
-31.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.840 |
$25.88 |
$3.08 |
+13.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
107 |
0.184 |
$19.77 |
$-10.23 |
-34.1% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
Yes |
101 |
0.161 |
$16.25 |
$-8.71 |
-34.9% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
17 |
0.870 |
$15.15 |
$0.70 |
+4.8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31? |
No |
15 |
0.974 |
$14.90 |
$0.05 |
+0.4% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
16 |
0.903 |
$14.85 |
$0.29 |
+2.0% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
77 |
0.180 |
$13.85 |
$-6.15 |
-30.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.115 |
$11.52 |
$-37.99 |
-76.7% |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.915 |
$4.58 |
$1.43 |
+45.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
16 |
0.195 |
$3.19 |
$-11.05 |
-77.6% |