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Trader leaderboard/0x78496273d417b4f26691FDAff50979344A5af88F-1770380393100

0x78496273d417b4f26691FDAff50979344A5af88F-1770380393100

0x78496273d417b4f26691fdaff50979344a5af88f
PnL (30d)
−$5
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
24W / 3L · 44 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
52W / 19L
Trades (30d)
71
across 28 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.43
avg win $1 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.69
$11 won / $16 lost
Reward / Risk
0.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$60
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $473 · all-time $10,781

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 88.9% 24W/3L 28 $280
🎬 Culture 100.0% 2W/0L 4 $29
🏛 Politics 2 $9
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $12
⚽ Sports 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 5 0.957 $4.78 $0.13 +2.8%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 5 0.854 $4.27 $-0.43 -9.1%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Yes 21 0.165 $3.47 $-0.53 -13.2%
Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes 45 0.070 $3.12 $-0.88 -21.9%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? No 10 0.196 $1.96 $-2.04 -51.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? Yes 11 0.025 $0.27 $-1.73 -86.4%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? No 50 0.004 $0.23 $-3.77 -94.4%
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? No 31 0.005 $0.17 $-5.33 -96.9%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 16 0.004 $0.07 $-5.43 -98.7%
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 46 0.001 $0.02 $-5.48 -99.6%
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? Yes 3 0.006 $0.02 $-0.27 -92.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 4 0.004 $0.01 $-1.01 -98.6%