PnL (30d)

−$233

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-42.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

16%

7W / 37L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

16%

8W / 43L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

58

across 11 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$38.91

avg win $13 · loss $49

Profit Factor

0.05

$13 won / $246 lost

Reward / Risk

0.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.5% 76W/173L	99	$3,536
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/12L	6	$153
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/11L	3	$62
🤖 Tech	—	2	$43
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$14
₿ Crypto	—	1	$122

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	217	0.545	$118.18	$-23.80	-16.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	Yes	200	0.415	$83.00	$-19.00	-18.6%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	132	0.300	$39.66	$-37.37	-48.5%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	60	0.630	$37.80	$0.60	+1.6%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	75	0.485	$36.38	$-1.37	-3.6%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	830	0.043	$36.02	$-1.06	-2.9%
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	40	0.595	$23.80	$-4.60	-16.2%
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	30	0.680	$20.40	$0.90	+4.6%
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	50	0.205	$10.25	$-3.75	-26.8%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	40	0.022	$0.90	$-18.30	-95.3%