| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7,700 |
0.930 |
$7,160.98 |
$58.90 |
+0.8% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? |
No |
5,172 |
0.865 |
$4,473.76 |
$-65.85 |
-1.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
4,000 |
0.978 |
$3,912.00 |
$60.00 |
+1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
6,666 |
0.445 |
$2,966.37 |
$33.33 |
+1.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.962 |
$2,886.00 |
$-18.00 |
-0.6% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
2,850 |
0.984 |
$2,804.40 |
$-5.70 |
-0.2% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
3,000 |
0.925 |
$2,776.50 |
$61.06 |
+2.2% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
2,650 |
0.865 |
$2,292.25 |
$-13.25 |
-0.6% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
5,000 |
0.445 |
$2,224.99 |
$-590.00 |
-21.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.655 |
$1,965.00 |
$-52.50 |
-2.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
2,344 |
0.825 |
$1,933.78 |
$-93.75 |
-4.6% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
4,386 |
0.365 |
$1,600.93 |
$-74.91 |
-4.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,500 |
0.935 |
$1,402.50 |
$52.50 |
+3.9% |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? |
No |
1,991 |
0.685 |
$1,363.72 |
$-40.61 |
-2.9% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
1,400 |
0.935 |
$1,308.99 |
$7.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
1,887 |
0.607 |
$1,144.76 |
$-111.81 |
-8.9% |
| Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
No |
1,284 |
0.860 |
$1,104.47 |
$168.84 |
+18.0% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? |
No |
1,734 |
0.585 |
$1,014.21 |
$-60.68 |
-5.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.485 |
$970.00 |
$110.00 |
+12.8% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
992 |
0.915 |
$908.12 |
$24.81 |
+2.8% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
926 |
0.904 |
$837.44 |
$11.71 |
+1.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.835 |
$835.33 |
$-6.09 |
-0.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,508 |
0.525 |
$791.69 |
$157.59 |
+24.9% |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? |
No |
1,000 |
0.785 |
$785.04 |
$-23.73 |
-2.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.775 |
$775.01 |
$-5.00 |
-0.6% |