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Trader leaderboard/TronOG

TronOG

0x77c344e1715c35d1424881c14e5a9f6911dd00c8
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$55
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$244
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
22W / 0L · 44 open
Win Return (30d)
97%
64W / 2L
Trades (30d)
66
across 9 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$18.39
avg win $18
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $33,321 · all-time $2,119,950

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 95.2% 356W/18L 45 $310,887
🏛 Politics 3 $6,009

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 23,034 0.952 $21,917.14 $554.27 +2.6%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 20,996 0.935 $19,631.22 $1,822.85 +10.2%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? No 13,363 0.984 $13,148.88 $636.85 +5.1%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No 11,000 0.925 $10,174.93 $415.05 +4.3%
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? No 4,000 0.982 $3,926.00 $6.00 +0.2%
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? No 4,000 0.910 $3,640.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? No 3,045 0.815 $2,481.34 $7.59 +0.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? No 640 0.991 $633.67 $10.56 +1.7%
Iran coup attempt by December 31? No 300 0.895 $268.50 $19.50 +7.8%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,818 0.135 $244.55 $61.90 +33.9%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 1,008 0.114 $114.39 $-541.11 -82.5%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 787 0.145 $114.14 $-361.08 -76.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Yes 853 0.125 $106.62 $-32.38 -23.3%
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 2,394 0.004 $10.77 $-35.11 -76.5%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? Yes 71 0.045 $3.21 $-18.21 -85.0%