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Trader leaderboard/arbarb7

arbarb7

0x77add09dc3203df69184179d4ac49e23bac6ba8a
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4,419
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+20.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
203W / 113L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
203W / 114L
Trades (30d)
317
across 39 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$116.30
avg win $533 · loss $127
Profit Factor
2.45
$7,464 won / $3,045 lost
Reward / Risk
4.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$155
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,340 · all-time $1,092,793

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.6% 211W/137L 53 $27,319
⚽ Sports 2.4% 1W/41L 11 $403
₿ Crypto 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $7
🏛 Politics 1 $171
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? No 1,192 0.800 $953.28 $193.39 +25.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? No 699 0.435 $304.23 $-15.38 -4.8%
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? Yes 2,144 0.104 $222.93 $51.94 +30.4%
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? Yes 2,443 0.049 $119.69 $-294.78 -71.1%
UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card) Billy Quarantillo 132 0.385 $50.82 $-1.06 -2.0%
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? Yes 64 0.584 $37.31 $35.94 +2615.6%
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? No 84 0.416 $34.82 $-19.16 -35.5%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-05? No 16 0.645 $10.24 $-0.08 -0.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9? Yes 6 0.605 $3.53 $0.55 +18.3%