PnL (30d)

−$153

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-34.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

30%

12W / 28L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

12W / 29L

Trades (30d)

41

across 23 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$6.94

avg win $16 · loss $16

Profit Factor

0.38

$95 won / $248 lost

Reward / Risk

1.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.0% 12W/28L	23	$736
🏛 Politics	—	1	$51

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	924	0.790	$730.20	$17.29	+2.4%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	718	0.545	$391.52	$118.38	+43.3%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	293	0.720	$210.65	$65.01	+44.6%
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?	Yes	80	0.665	$53.20	$10.80	+25.5%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	Yes	87	0.570	$49.46	$-1.74	-3.4%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	80	0.565	$45.19	$11.59	+34.5%