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Trader leaderboard/groppone

groppone

0x77500a1651826ef61b2dde9d666851f13179324d
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
2W / 0L
Trades (30d)
2
across 1 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45 · all-time $254,045

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 27.3% 3W/8L 13 $250
🎬 Culture 1 $11
🌤 Weather 1 $11
🔬 Science 1 $11

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.365 $36.50 $1.50 +4.3%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 150 0.185 $27.75 $-2.25 -7.5%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 60 0.455 $27.30 $-4.50 -14.2%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 410 0.065 $26.65 $-29.95 -52.9%
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes 357 0.068 $24.30 $-1.07 -4.2%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 200 0.095 $19.00 $-9.00 -32.1%
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 100 0.170 $17.00 $-8.01 -32.0%
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes 400 0.033 $13.20 $-14.80 -52.9%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 200 0.065 $13.00 $-7.00 -35.0%
New pandemic in 2026? Yes 200 0.065 $13.00 $-7.00 -35.0%
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? Yes 200 0.059 $11.70 $-8.30 -41.5%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 300 0.038 $11.40 $-14.10 -55.3%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes 50 0.165 $8.25 $-11.75 -58.8%
US recession by end of 2026? Yes 100 0.080 $8.00 $-18.00 -69.2%
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes 83 0.085 $7.08 $-7.08 -50.0%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes 300 0.024 $7.05 $-13.95 -66.4%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 64 0.095 $6.08 $-13.12 -68.3%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026? Yes 40 0.083 $3.32 $-16.68 -83.4%
Will there be between 90m and 95m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes 58 0.007 $0.40 $-2.48 -86.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? Yes 10 0.034 $0.34 $-1.46 -81.1%