| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
Yes |
61 |
0.570 |
$34.81 |
$21.69 |
+165.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.797 |
$24.17 |
$14.17 |
+141.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
26 |
0.805 |
$21.18 |
$16.18 |
+323.7% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
99 |
0.185 |
$18.39 |
$-4.21 |
-18.6% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? |
Yes |
27 |
0.630 |
$17.04 |
$7.04 |
+70.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
43 |
0.345 |
$15.00 |
$-5.00 |
-25.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
13 |
0.830 |
$10.92 |
$5.92 |
+118.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
15 |
0.705 |
$10.62 |
$0.62 |
+6.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
Yes |
65 |
0.125 |
$8.13 |
$-2.87 |
-26.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? |
Yes |
23 |
0.215 |
$4.89 |
$-0.11 |
-2.3% |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? |
No |
19 |
0.250 |
$4.81 |
$-0.19 |
-3.8% |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? |
Yes |
74 |
0.065 |
$4.76 |
$-5.24 |
-52.4% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
No |
13 |
0.330 |
$4.34 |
$-0.66 |
-13.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
33 |
0.125 |
$4.17 |
$-5.83 |
-58.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
62 |
0.065 |
$4.06 |
$-0.94 |
-18.8% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.605 |
$3.27 |
$1.27 |
+63.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
45 |
0.065 |
$2.95 |
$-2.05 |
-40.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.147 |
$2.95 |
$-2.05 |
-41.0% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
3 |
0.870 |
$2.68 |
$0.68 |
+33.8% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
25 |
0.105 |
$2.62 |
$-2.38 |
-47.5% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
Yes |
63 |
0.038 |
$2.41 |
$-3.59 |
-59.9% |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? |
No |
100 |
0.022 |
$2.20 |
$-0.80 |
-26.7% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
11 |
0.195 |
$2.17 |
$1.17 |
+116.7% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
Yes |
7 |
0.304 |
$2.03 |
$1.03 |
+103.0% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
No |
17 |
0.112 |
$1.87 |
$0.87 |
+86.7% |