| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
4,097 |
0.375 |
$1,536.42 |
$1,179.58 |
+330.6% |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? |
No |
834 |
0.917 |
$765.08 |
$50.82 |
+7.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.065 |
$130.00 |
$-50.00 |
-27.8% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
1,040 |
0.125 |
$129.99 |
$35.21 |
+37.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.365 |
$73.00 |
$17.00 |
+30.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.145 |
$58.00 |
$-48.00 |
-45.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.045 |
$45.50 |
$-17.60 |
-27.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
1,490 |
0.025 |
$37.85 |
$-9.58 |
-20.2% |
| Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.095 |
$28.50 |
$0.50 |
+1.8% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
67 |
0.395 |
$26.28 |
$-3.66 |
-12.2% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? |
Yes |
400 |
0.065 |
$25.98 |
$-17.99 |
-40.9% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
208 |
0.080 |
$16.60 |
$1.08 |
+6.9% |
| Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? |
Yes |
48 |
0.055 |
$2.62 |
$-1.67 |
-38.9% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
Yes |
1 |
0.082 |
$0.08 |
$-0.16 |
-65.6% |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? |
Yes |
1 |
0.025 |
$0.03 |
$-0.08 |
-74.6% |