| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
3,200 |
0.545 |
$1,744.00 |
$144.00 |
+9.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
3,200 |
0.455 |
$1,456.00 |
$-144.00 |
-9.0% |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? |
No |
300 |
0.935 |
$280.65 |
$74.65 |
+36.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.961 |
$192.20 |
$11.20 |
+6.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
200 |
0.865 |
$173.00 |
$7.00 |
+4.2% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
191 |
0.845 |
$161.18 |
$42.55 |
+35.9% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
155 |
0.963 |
$149.19 |
$23.39 |
+18.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
148 |
0.830 |
$122.75 |
$54.72 |
+80.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
130 |
0.852 |
$110.75 |
$16.81 |
+17.9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.495 |
$99.00 |
$3.00 |
+3.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
100 |
0.978 |
$97.75 |
$7.75 |
+8.6% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.967 |
$96.70 |
$8.70 |
+9.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.962 |
$96.20 |
$0.20 |
+0.2% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.957 |
$95.65 |
$15.05 |
+18.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.945 |
$94.49 |
$30.50 |
+47.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.935 |
$93.50 |
$4.50 |
+5.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.885 |
$88.50 |
$16.50 |
+22.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
100 |
0.825 |
$82.50 |
$-1.50 |
-1.8% |
| No one announced as next James Bond? |
No |
98 |
0.793 |
$77.32 |
$-1.66 |
-2.1% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.725 |
$72.50 |
$12.50 |
+20.8% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.535 |
$53.50 |
$-6.50 |
-10.8% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
Yes |
200 |
0.235 |
$47.00 |
$-33.00 |
-41.2% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
57 |
0.715 |
$40.53 |
$9.35 |
+30.0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
40 |
0.945 |
$37.80 |
$4.10 |
+12.2% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.370 |
$37.00 |
$10.00 |
+37.0% |