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Trader

0x765fa4c18dd7c3607cdcee7a87681747c2d51508
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4,200
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$43
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
233W / 214L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
254W / 214L
Trades (30d)
468
across 112 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$38.53
avg win $260 · loss $321
Profit Factor
0.77
$13,761 won / $17,961 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$445
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $211 · all-time $4,656,818

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 47.9% 357W/388L 190 $126,834
⚽ Sports 50.0% 2W/2L 4 $511
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 3 $8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? Yes 602 0.455 $273.96 $33.02 +13.7%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? Yes 458 0.315 $144.21 $-9.96 -6.5%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? Yes 148 0.665 $98.61 $-1.21 -1.2%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? Yes 326 0.165 $53.72 $-19.75 -26.9%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? Yes 43 0.885 $38.24 $0.65 +1.7%
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes 131 0.265 $34.78 $-75.21 -68.4%
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? Yes 119 0.265 $31.59 $-2.31 -6.8%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes 106 0.160 $17.01 $-32.88 -65.9%
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July? No 11 0.805 $8.52 $0.72 +9.2%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? Yes 25 0.260 $6.42 $-8.05 -55.6%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? No 6 0.925 $5.95 $1.45 +32.1%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes 26 0.205 $5.29 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 4 0.865 $3.55 $-0.02 -0.6%
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 17 0.175 $2.90 $1.08 +59.1%
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? Yes 3 0.405 $1.34 $0.28 +26.5%
Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 872 0.002 $1.31 $-5.47 -80.7%
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes 18 0.006 $0.11 $-0.09 -45.5%
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 1 0.002 $0.00 $-0.02 -90.1%