PnL (30d)

+$1

Science · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

10W / 20L · 32 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

34W / 28L

Trades (30d)

62

across 24 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.06

avg win $1 · loss $0

Profit Factor

1.50

$3 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

7.00

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	13.7% 1,715W/10,843L	4949	$1,221
🏛 Politics	11.6% 39W/298L	257	$53
🎬 Culture	8.7% 40W/421L	214	$40
⚽ Sports	1.8% 2W/112L	194	$70
₿ Crypto	0.9% 1W/114L	85	$12
💵 Economy	17.4% 28W/133L	81	$22
🌤 Weather	0.9% 2W/211L	53	$10
🤖 Tech	19.6% 10W/41L	26	$4
🔬 Science	—	4	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Yair Rodriguez fight Alexander Volkanovski next?	Yes	268	0.010	$2.68	$2.42	+900.0%
Will Max Holloway be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	246	0.008	$1.96	$1.72	+700.0%
Will Washington Nationals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	259	0.007	$1.94	$1.68	+650.0%
Will Arman Tsarukyan be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	150	0.009	$1.27	$1.12	+750.0%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 7?	Yes	253	0.005	$1.26	$1.01	+400.0%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	150	0.008	$1.20	$1.05	+700.0%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC?	Yes	138	0.009	$1.18	$1.04	+749.9%
Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	150	0.007	$1.12	$0.97	+650.0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2,250	0.001	$1.12	$-1.12	-50.0%
Will the Chicago Bulls be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	150	0.007	$1.12	$0.97	+649.9%
Will Owen Caissie win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	198	0.005	$1.09	$0.89	+449.9%
Will “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	Yes	150	0.007	$1.05	$0.90	+600.0%
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.7% or more in July?	Yes	150	0.007	$1.05	$0.90	+599.9%
Will Natasha Howard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	143	0.007	$1.00	$0.86	+599.9%
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Chicago Bears next?	Yes	125	0.008	$1.00	$0.87	+700.0%
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	Yes	245	0.004	$0.98	$0.73	+300.0%
Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the top song for 2026?	Yes	150	0.006	$0.97	$0.82	+550.0%
Will Spencer Jones win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	150	0.006	$0.97	$0.82	+550.0%
Will AL be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	150	0.006	$0.97	$0.82	+550.0%
Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	150	0.006	$0.97	$0.82	+550.0%
Will Estoril Praia win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	150	0.006	$0.97	$0.82	+550.0%
Will Asu Almabayev be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	193	0.005	$0.97	$0.77	+399.9%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $320,000 on September 30?	Yes	126	0.007	$0.94	$0.82	+649.9%
Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	88	0.011	$0.92	$0.84	+949.8%
Will BNB dip to $200 in August?	Yes	140	0.006	$0.91	$0.77	+549.9%