| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.953 |
$762.00 |
$-13.98 |
-1.8% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? |
No |
740 |
0.625 |
$462.80 |
$35.02 |
+8.2% |
| Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? |
No |
315 |
0.895 |
$281.93 |
$-11.02 |
-3.8% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
Yes |
321 |
0.650 |
$208.82 |
$75.33 |
+56.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Yes |
261 |
0.570 |
$149.02 |
$-47.02 |
-24.0% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
No |
201 |
0.650 |
$130.77 |
$-15.15 |
-10.4% |
| Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? |
No |
140 |
0.875 |
$122.49 |
$0.05 |
+0.0% |
| Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title? |
No |
182 |
0.635 |
$115.26 |
$35.32 |
+44.2% |
| Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series? |
No |
120 |
0.915 |
$109.81 |
$-0.60 |
-0.5% |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027? |
No |
120 |
0.890 |
$106.79 |
$27.00 |
+33.8% |
| Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? |
No |
131 |
0.789 |
$103.30 |
$-23.25 |
-18.4% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
117 |
0.875 |
$102.50 |
$39.84 |
+63.6% |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? |
No |
105 |
0.945 |
$99.27 |
$38.27 |
+62.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
320 |
0.305 |
$97.60 |
$-122.60 |
-55.7% |
| Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
100 |
0.954 |
$95.40 |
$-0.84 |
-0.9% |
| Will Wilyer Abreu win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? |
No |
97 |
0.954 |
$92.65 |
$-1.48 |
-1.6% |
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? |
No |
91 |
0.991 |
$90.29 |
$0.12 |
+0.1% |
| Will Oakland Athletics win the 2026 AL West title? |
No |
90 |
1.000 |
$89.96 |
$1.76 |
+2.0% |
| Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? |
No |
276 |
0.325 |
$89.85 |
$-15.83 |
-15.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat? |
Yes |
120 |
0.740 |
$88.77 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? |
No |
80 |
0.981 |
$78.48 |
$-0.68 |
-0.9% |
| Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? |
No |
80 |
0.954 |
$75.88 |
$2.91 |
+4.0% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
Yes |
196 |
0.355 |
$69.60 |
$16.64 |
+31.4% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? |
No |
96 |
0.715 |
$68.48 |
$6.33 |
+10.2% |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? |
No |
82 |
0.805 |
$66.01 |
$0.08 |
+0.1% |