| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,498 |
0.021 |
$96.25 |
$35.56 |
+58.6% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
6,163 |
0.007 |
$46.22 |
$-15.87 |
-25.6% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,781 |
0.015 |
$27.61 |
$-6.06 |
-18.0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,480 |
0.009 |
$23.56 |
$-6.20 |
-20.8% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
669 |
0.019 |
$13.05 |
$-33.30 |
-71.8% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
4,392 |
0.003 |
$10.98 |
$-24.16 |
-68.8% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
643 |
0.015 |
$9.65 |
$4.50 |
+87.5% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
86 |
0.102 |
$8.84 |
$3.10 |
+53.9% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,036 |
0.007 |
$7.77 |
$-3.27 |
-29.6% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
35 |
0.165 |
$5.78 |
$1.93 |
+50.0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
617 |
0.006 |
$3.70 |
$-0.62 |
-14.3% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
542 |
0.006 |
$3.52 |
$1.34 |
+61.5% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
810 |
0.004 |
$2.83 |
$-3.65 |
-56.2% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
148 |
0.017 |
$2.45 |
$-4.07 |
-62.5% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
499 |
0.004 |
$2.25 |
$0.04 |
+1.9% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
373 |
0.005 |
$2.05 |
$0.52 |
+34.3% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
281 |
0.006 |
$1.83 |
$0.59 |
+47.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
56 |
0.025 |
$1.37 |
$-1.60 |
-53.8% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
248 |
0.005 |
$1.37 |
$0.27 |
+25.0% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
378 |
0.003 |
$0.94 |
$-14.44 |
-93.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1 |
0.675 |
$0.94 |
$-0.06 |
-6.2% |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.656 |
$0.90 |
$-0.10 |
-10.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.545 |
$0.78 |
$-0.22 |
-22.1% |
| Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? |
Yes |
5 |
0.165 |
$0.75 |
$-0.25 |
-25.0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
151 |
0.004 |
$0.68 |
$-0.28 |
-28.8% |