| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
No |
800 |
0.855 |
$683.96 |
$20.07 |
+3.0% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
1,206 |
0.465 |
$560.01 |
$-129.38 |
-18.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
320 |
0.959 |
$306.87 |
$54.98 |
+21.8% |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? |
Yes |
399 |
0.660 |
$263.46 |
$-95.33 |
-26.6% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? |
Yes |
650 |
0.295 |
$191.75 |
$-16.90 |
-8.1% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
729 |
0.255 |
$185.43 |
$-32.15 |
-14.8% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
180 |
0.993 |
$178.75 |
$33.49 |
+23.1% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? |
No |
300 |
0.555 |
$166.50 |
$-2.50 |
-1.5% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
860 |
0.177 |
$152.64 |
$-38.21 |
-20.0% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
300 |
0.505 |
$151.50 |
$1.50 |
+1.0% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
1,800 |
0.075 |
$135.00 |
$-114.50 |
-45.9% |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? |
No |
156 |
0.815 |
$127.12 |
$-2.98 |
-2.3% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
No |
200 |
0.570 |
$113.98 |
$-39.02 |
-25.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
750 |
0.145 |
$108.75 |
$-68.25 |
-38.6% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
200 |
0.540 |
$108.10 |
$-5.30 |
-4.7% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
6,547 |
0.017 |
$108.02 |
$23.74 |
+28.2% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? |
Yes |
200 |
0.515 |
$103.00 |
$-2.00 |
-1.9% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? |
Yes |
119 |
0.850 |
$101.00 |
$1.56 |
+1.6% |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? |
No |
187 |
0.525 |
$98.27 |
$-4.13 |
-4.0% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
No |
100 |
0.920 |
$92.30 |
$3.02 |
+3.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.225 |
$90.00 |
$6.00 |
+7.1% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
100 |
0.845 |
$84.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.6% |
| Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? |
No |
400 |
0.210 |
$84.00 |
$-18.00 |
-17.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? |
No |
700 |
0.120 |
$84.00 |
$-149.00 |
-63.9% |
| Will Leavitt say "Iran" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? |
Yes |
150 |
0.540 |
$81.00 |
$-35.00 |
-30.2% |