PnL (30d)

−$51

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$35

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

22%

9W / 32L · 297 open

Win Return (30d)

70%

235W / 103L

Trades (30d)

338

across 28 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

−$8.44

avg win $22 · loss $39

Profit Factor

0.56

$65 won / $116 lost

Reward / Risk

0.56

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$110

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	22.0% 9W/32L	28	$34,283
🏛 Politics	—	6	$3,400
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/3L	6	$2,167
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	6	$2,167

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	2,013	0.968	$1,948.01	$117.30	+6.4%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	2,500	0.545	$1,362.48	$2.52	+0.2%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	717	0.875	$627.37	$10.75	+1.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	500	0.935	$467.50	$17.50	+3.9%
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	No	500	0.855	$427.50	$-2.50	-0.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	No	400	0.985	$394.00	$11.60	+3.0%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	No	400	0.815	$325.96	$-22.04	-6.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	No	310	0.985	$305.35	$30.35	+11.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	No	278	0.993	$276.32	$7.71	+2.9%
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?	No	22	0.915	$20.40	$2.23	+12.3%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	6	0.955	$5.92	$0.09	+1.6%