RolandDrump
0x75322cd79943489a4a747587afd4cbbecf57c6fc
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$225
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$190
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+13.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
46%
16W / 19L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
17W / 20L
Trades (30d)
37
across 5 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$75.06
avg win $324 · loss $49
Profit Factor
3.29
$324 won / $98 lost
Reward / Risk
6.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,000 · all-time $1,021,439
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
1,200 |
0.895 |
$1,073.99 |
$450.00 |
+72.1% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.510 |
$510.40 |
$106.40 |
+26.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.325 |
$325.00 |
$-45.00 |
-12.2% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
2,561 |
0.065 |
$166.44 |
$-402.10 |
-70.7% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? |
Yes |
400 |
0.330 |
$132.00 |
$44.00 |
+50.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.015 |
$30.00 |
$-34.00 |
-53.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.019 |
$19.50 |
$-17.50 |
-47.3% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
5 |
0.705 |
$3.52 |
$0.42 |
+13.7% |