PnL (30d)

−$337

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-14.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

14%

16W / 97L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

17%

21W / 106L

Trades (30d)

127

across 33 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$14.03

avg win $9 · loss $24

Profit Factor

0.16

$66 won / $403 lost

Reward / Risk

0.40

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$29

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.4% 1,152W/1,442L	768	$128,870
⚽ Sports	23.1% 3W/10L	8	$1,196
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/6L	6	$451
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	2	$80
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$79
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$7
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

70 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?	No	35	0.918	$32.53	$2.45	+8.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?	Yes	37	0.855	$31.46	$1.29	+4.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?	Yes	23	0.931	$21.79	$1.67	+8.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?	No	22	0.979	$21.75	$1.76	+8.8%
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	23	0.920	$21.51	$1.40	+7.0%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	25	0.865	$21.50	$1.61	+8.1%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?	Yes	24	0.895	$21.44	$1.32	+6.5%
Will the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat?	Yes	23	0.935	$21.36	$1.26	+6.2%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	25	0.863	$21.33	$1.30	+6.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Yes	22	0.945	$21.11	$1.01	+5.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-04 House seat?	No	22	0.945	$21.11	$1.01	+5.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat?	No	22	0.935	$20.89	$0.78	+3.9%
Will the Republican Party win the LA-04 House seat?	Yes	22	0.935	$20.89	$0.78	+3.9%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-19 House seat?	Yes	22	0.935	$20.89	$0.78	+3.9%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?	Yes	22	0.935	$20.89	$0.78	+3.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?	No	24	0.870	$20.84	$0.72	+3.6%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat?	Yes	23	0.910	$20.79	$0.69	+3.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-17 House seat?	No	22	0.925	$20.66	$0.56	+2.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat?	No	22	0.925	$20.66	$0.56	+2.8%
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?	No	22	0.924	$20.64	$0.54	+2.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?	Yes	23	0.900	$20.57	$0.46	+2.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?	No	23	0.875	$20.47	$0.35	+1.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-06 House seat?	Yes	22	0.915	$20.44	$0.34	+1.7%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	22	0.915	$20.33	$0.33	+1.7%
Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?	Yes	23	0.885	$20.22	$0.11	+0.6%