| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
2,547 |
0.675 |
$1,719.01 |
$366.62 |
+27.1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,861 |
0.143 |
$841.10 |
$841.10 |
+0.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.358 |
$716.00 |
$436.00 |
+155.7% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? |
No |
792 |
0.815 |
$645.23 |
$645.23 |
+0.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.495 |
$495.00 |
$92.70 |
+23.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.485 |
$485.00 |
$45.00 |
+10.2% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.940 |
$470.00 |
$120.00 |
+34.3% |
| Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? |
No |
579 |
0.685 |
$396.82 |
$182.97 |
+85.6% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? |
No |
357 |
0.950 |
$338.97 |
$56.64 |
+20.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
246 |
0.865 |
$212.44 |
$11.05 |
+5.5% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
394 |
0.515 |
$203.09 |
$1.36 |
+0.7% |
| Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? |
Yes |
233 |
0.795 |
$184.85 |
$31.52 |
+20.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? |
No |
508 |
0.337 |
$170.95 |
$-102.93 |
-37.6% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
606 |
0.245 |
$148.47 |
$-51.51 |
-25.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
564 |
0.235 |
$132.48 |
$-85.76 |
-39.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.519 |
$103.79 |
$59.97 |
+136.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
425 |
0.150 |
$63.72 |
$-25.27 |
-28.4% |
| Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
No |
230 |
0.240 |
$55.20 |
$-4.50 |
-7.5% |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
No |
220 |
0.195 |
$42.90 |
$5.50 |
+14.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
1,111 |
0.035 |
$39.33 |
$4.97 |
+14.5% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? |
Yes |
75 |
0.036 |
$2.74 |
$-7.76 |
-73.9% |