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Trader leaderboard/0x74B4F9447B14b12308963FC048Ae363EB0756bEA-1769170826159

0x74B4F9447B14b12308963FC048Ae363EB0756bEA-1769170826159

0x74b4f9447b14b12308963fc048ae363eb0756bea
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$861
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,420
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
108W / 27L · 176 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
234W / 77L
Trades (30d)
311
across 47 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$47.86
avg win $148 · loss $454
Profit Factor
1.63
$2,223 won / $1,362 lost
Reward / Risk
0.33
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$16
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $137,988 · all-time $3,092,227

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.1% 228W/53L 72 $402,752
💵 Economy 81.8% 9W/2L 31 $100,280
₿ Crypto 81.8% 9W/2L 26 $86,760
🏛 Politics 1 $7,642

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

46 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 46,737 0.915 $42,764.25 $4,136.03 +10.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 41,951 0.969 $40,629.16 $-329.52 -0.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 34,806 0.945 $32,874.00 $976.34 +3.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? No 19,993 0.985 $19,692.97 $157.90 +0.8%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 14,000 0.968 $13,544.99 $295.53 +2.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 10,000 0.915 $9,150.00 $150.00 +1.7%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? No 8,446 0.981 $8,285.66 $56.43 +0.7%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No 8,496 0.945 $8,028.38 $540.62 +7.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6,250 0.845 $5,281.58 $156.26 +3.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No 5,467 0.925 $5,057.15 $136.68 +2.8%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 5,000 0.885 $4,424.99 $125.00 +2.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August? No 4,402 0.984 $4,329.55 $-2.43 -0.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? No 4,173 0.972 $4,054.32 $-13.55 -0.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No 5,033 0.760 $3,825.33 $141.40 +3.8%
US x China Military clash before 2027? No 3,842 0.956 $3,672.87 $63.07 +1.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? No 3,723 0.986 $3,671.05 $7.65 +0.2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No 4,014 0.720 $2,889.97 $-133.10 -4.4%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 2,966 0.957 $2,837.43 $416.93 +17.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August? No 2,903 0.967 $2,807.63 $-2.78 -0.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? No 2,080 0.993 $2,065.09 $29.76 +1.5%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No 1,817 0.964 $1,751.18 $147.35 +9.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? No 1,368 0.996 $1,362.13 $3.42 +0.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August? No 1,286 0.993 $1,277.09 $7.35 +0.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? No 1,236 0.875 $1,081.33 $-11.02 -1.0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No 1,113 0.964 $1,072.69 $112.97 +11.8%