Trader
0x749d1dc010878e2684bc8b54d0cf0ae0763f4cc1
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$6
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+35.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
2W / 8L
Win Return (30d)
20%
2W / 8L
Trades (30d)
10
across 7 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.86
avg win $8 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.57
$17 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
3.92
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,132 · all-time $132,213
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5? |
Yes |
8 |
0.340 |
$2.71 |
$-0.08 |
-2.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? |
Yes |
5 |
0.405 |
$2.02 |
$-0.32 |
-13.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 5? |
Yes |
6 |
0.300 |
$1.86 |
$0.06 |
+3.4% |