| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7,107 |
0.750 |
$5,330.00 |
$197.08 |
+3.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
7,500 |
0.675 |
$5,062.46 |
$847.59 |
+20.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6,198 |
0.455 |
$2,820.06 |
$-323.67 |
-10.3% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
1,922 |
0.810 |
$1,556.70 |
$331.81 |
+27.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.725 |
$1,449.99 |
$30.00 |
+2.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
1,597 |
0.885 |
$1,413.63 |
$208.49 |
+17.3% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.915 |
$915.00 |
$70.00 |
+8.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.885 |
$885.08 |
$96.68 |
+12.3% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,330 |
0.375 |
$873.78 |
$-0.22 |
-0.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.870 |
$870.29 |
$190.58 |
+28.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.835 |
$835.01 |
$80.64 |
+10.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.165 |
$824.99 |
$348.72 |
+73.2% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,151 |
0.635 |
$730.95 |
$28.18 |
+4.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
2,303 |
0.305 |
$702.40 |
$-346.12 |
-33.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
800 |
0.865 |
$692.00 |
$49.50 |
+7.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
772 |
0.855 |
$660.06 |
$167.78 |
+34.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
700 |
0.865 |
$605.49 |
$41.19 |
+7.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
No |
500 |
0.905 |
$452.61 |
$56.32 |
+14.2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
475 |
0.915 |
$434.94 |
$93.00 |
+27.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.215 |
$430.00 |
$-208.33 |
-32.6% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
1,400 |
0.295 |
$413.06 |
$-133.08 |
-24.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.445 |
$400.50 |
$-65.50 |
-14.1% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? |
No |
424 |
0.915 |
$387.95 |
$40.05 |
+11.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.775 |
$387.50 |
$62.50 |
+19.2% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.735 |
$367.72 |
$61.79 |
+20.2% |