| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,429 |
0.931 |
$1,330.40 |
$37.10 |
+2.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,030 |
0.595 |
$1,207.85 |
$192.85 |
+19.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.981 |
$980.50 |
$36.50 |
+3.9% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? |
No |
1,000 |
0.905 |
$905.00 |
$-24.70 |
-2.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
2,030 |
0.405 |
$822.15 |
$-192.85 |
-19.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.970 |
$775.60 |
$11.60 |
+1.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.961 |
$768.40 |
$48.40 |
+6.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? |
No |
701 |
0.985 |
$690.29 |
$39.65 |
+6.1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
700 |
0.963 |
$673.75 |
$64.75 |
+10.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? |
No |
620 |
0.905 |
$561.10 |
$-2.90 |
-0.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? |
Yes |
643 |
0.725 |
$466.18 |
$50.76 |
+12.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.885 |
$442.50 |
$2.50 |
+0.6% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
299 |
0.982 |
$293.81 |
$15.56 |
+5.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
300 |
0.865 |
$259.50 |
$1.50 |
+0.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.971 |
$194.10 |
$12.10 |
+6.6% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.125 |
$62.50 |
$-42.50 |
-40.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? |
No |
49 |
0.845 |
$41.16 |
$2.83 |
+7.4% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.065 |
$32.50 |
$-21.08 |
-39.3% |