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Trader leaderboard/AAK.81

AAK.81

0x747b114f1e963bc61ef0438b3823496ca924a2d4
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$50
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 23L · 70 open
Win Return (30d)
34%
31W / 60L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
93
across 22 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$9.91
· loss $10
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $50 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$19
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $191 · all-time $11,511

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.8% 28W/46L 76 $1,238
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/7L 11 $155
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $17

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 72 0.625 $45.00 $9.10 +25.3%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 85 0.465 $39.52 $2.86 +7.8%
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? Yes 40 0.835 $33.38 $16.74 +100.6%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? No 69 0.284 $19.62 $4.60 +30.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 68 0.278 $19.01 $4.01 +26.7%
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No 45 0.375 $16.88 $2.37 +16.3%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 40 0.394 $15.76 $5.14 +48.3%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 27 0.325 $8.78 $-1.48 -14.5%
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? No 40 0.205 $8.20 $-1.80 -18.0%
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes 18 0.420 $7.60 $0.54 +7.7%
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 21 0.331 $6.91 $1.85 +36.6%
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 30 0.210 $6.30 $0.03 +0.5%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? Yes 6 0.964 $5.80 $4.72 +436.4%
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? Yes 37 0.121 $4.52 $0.17 +4.0%
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? No 18 0.215 $3.87 $0.09 +2.4%
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes 60 0.045 $2.70 $-7.50 -73.5%
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes 2 0.293 $0.63 $-0.69 -52.4%
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? No 43 0.015 $0.62 $-9.27 -93.7%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? No 23 0.021 $0.47 $-12.87 -96.5%
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? Yes 70 0.001 $0.04 $-14.22 -99.8%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 40 0.001 $0.02 $-3.98 -99.5%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 8 0.001 $0.00 $-2.05 -99.8%