| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
87,937 |
0.968 |
$85,078.88 |
$-414.36 |
-0.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
161,200 |
0.375 |
$60,450.13 |
$729.27 |
+1.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
50,129 |
0.735 |
$36,844.84 |
$1,138.58 |
+3.2% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
48,339 |
0.510 |
$24,672.09 |
$22,945.72 |
+1329.1% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
21,658 |
0.885 |
$19,167.03 |
$7,214.64 |
+60.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
116,570 |
0.155 |
$18,068.35 |
$1,848.68 |
+11.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
74,347 |
0.195 |
$14,497.73 |
$-25,376.22 |
-63.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
14,917 |
0.955 |
$14,245.75 |
$2,946.38 |
+26.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
11,962 |
0.988 |
$11,812.88 |
$521.03 |
+4.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
25,895 |
0.345 |
$8,931.12 |
$2,316.24 |
+35.0% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
8,393 |
0.995 |
$8,347.26 |
$2,838.15 |
+51.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
No |
69,007 |
0.120 |
$8,280.83 |
$686.00 |
+9.0% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
No |
9,804 |
0.815 |
$7,988.99 |
$2,881.67 |
+56.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
25,146 |
0.305 |
$7,669.55 |
$1,236.36 |
+19.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
94,648 |
0.065 |
$6,152.14 |
$-4,156.39 |
-40.3% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
63,322 |
0.065 |
$4,115.92 |
$-1,360.03 |
-24.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
29,948 |
0.115 |
$3,444.00 |
$-669.33 |
-16.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
45,918 |
0.075 |
$3,443.87 |
$-2,524.13 |
-42.3% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
33,161 |
0.088 |
$2,934.77 |
$-2,806.94 |
-48.9% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.135 |
$2,690.00 |
$2,533.76 |
+1621.7% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
2,653 |
0.964 |
$2,555.85 |
$733.42 |
+40.2% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
10,477 |
0.235 |
$2,462.21 |
$454.30 |
+22.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.117 |
$2,330.00 |
$2,173.76 |
+1391.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10,159 |
0.225 |
$2,285.77 |
$-10.59 |
-0.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
62,532 |
0.036 |
$2,282.40 |
$-6,119.02 |
-72.8% |