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Trader

0x741745133dff19da84d33030c6c95d2664d08329
PnL (30d)
−$57
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
372W / 52L · 69 open
Win Return (30d)
83%
410W / 82L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
493
across 223 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.34
avg win $3 · loss $17
Profit Factor
0.87
$386 won / $442 lost
Reward / Risk
0.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $71,447

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 87.7% 372W/52L 223 $786
⚽ Sports 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

195 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 30 0.971 $29.11 $28.21 +3102.7%
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? Yes 30 0.860 $25.80 $10.80 +72.0%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? Yes 30 0.818 $24.54 $23.63 +2599.1%
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? Yes 30 0.790 $23.70 $23.15 +4245.2%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes 25 0.875 $21.88 $20.74 +1825.0%
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? Yes 30 0.685 $20.55 $19.87 +2914.0%
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 30 0.625 $18.75 $3.75 +25.0%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes 30 0.515 $15.45 $14.20 +1136.0%
Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split Yes 30 0.410 $12.30 $9.80 +392.0%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 74 0.134 $9.92 $7.85 +380.6%
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes 17 0.570 $9.92 $1.22 +14.0%
Will Team Liquid Win LCS 2026 Summer Split Yes 30 0.295 $8.85 $6.35 +254.0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 59 0.145 $8.59 $6.80 +378.5%
Will Jalen Duren play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? Yes 30 0.239 $7.18 $6.28 +690.3%
Will Movsar Evloev fight Alexander Volkanovski next? Yes 7 0.925 $6.89 $6.53 +1842.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 90 0.075 $6.75 $5.74 +567.6%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? Yes 22 0.300 $6.72 $6.52 +3230.0%
Will Cloud9 Win LCS 2026 Summer Split Yes 30 0.165 $4.95 $-10.05 -67.0%
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes 30 0.162 $4.86 $4.21 +645.2%
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 23 0.205 $4.77 $4.12 +638.0%
Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 NL Central title? Yes 28 0.170 $4.76 $-9.23 -66.0%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 61 0.075 $4.54 $2.71 +147.5%
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title Yes 5 0.835 $4.53 $3.62 +401.0%
Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? Yes 10 0.445 $4.47 $-0.55 -11.0%
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 52 0.085 $4.43 $2.98 +206.0%