PnL (30d)

−$540

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$66

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-25.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

15%

93W / 523L · 73 open

Win Return (30d)

15%

105W / 584L

Trades (30d)

689

across 55 markets · ~13 per market

EV / position

−$11.49

avg win $104 · loss $35

Profit Factor

0.61

$834 won / $1,374 lost

Reward / Risk

2.96

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$424

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	22.9% 311W/1,047L	133	$12,030
🏛 Politics	18.5% 43W/190L	22	$1,266
🎬 Culture	18.5% 43W/190L	22	$1,266

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	427	0.019	$8.34	$-3.82	-31.4%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	320	0.024	$7.52	$-2.01	-21.1%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	10,992	0.001	$5.50	$-27.19	-83.2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	2,010	0.003	$5.02	$-44.26	-89.8%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	503	0.004	$2.27	$-38.01	-94.4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	4,200	0.001	$2.10	$-6.30	-75.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3	0.455	$1.32	$0.42	+46.8%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,501	0.001	$1.25	$-1.25	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-21.50	-97.7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	502	0.001	$0.25	$-14.19	-98.3%