| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.966 |
$2,898.00 |
$708.00 |
+32.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,500 |
0.835 |
$1,252.50 |
$-22.50 |
-1.8% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? |
No |
641 |
0.870 |
$557.68 |
$-6.41 |
-1.1% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.875 |
$525.00 |
$9.00 |
+1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? |
No |
506 |
0.805 |
$407.33 |
$-27.83 |
-6.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat? |
Yes |
400 |
0.935 |
$374.00 |
$6.00 |
+1.6% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
No |
400 |
0.895 |
$358.00 |
$2.00 |
+0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? |
No |
482 |
0.715 |
$344.83 |
$-50.64 |
-12.8% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.855 |
$342.00 |
$26.00 |
+8.2% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.825 |
$330.02 |
$38.01 |
+13.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.815 |
$325.96 |
$-10.04 |
-3.0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? |
No |
400 |
0.775 |
$310.00 |
$18.00 |
+6.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
400 |
0.775 |
$310.00 |
$10.00 |
+3.3% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
320 |
0.964 |
$308.31 |
$33.12 |
+12.0% |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? |
No |
400 |
0.755 |
$302.00 |
$-18.00 |
-5.6% |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? |
Yes |
400 |
0.745 |
$298.00 |
$-50.00 |
-14.4% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
Yes |
300 |
0.985 |
$295.35 |
$106.35 |
+56.3% |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026? |
No |
311 |
0.950 |
$295.16 |
$37.28 |
+14.5% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? |
Anthropic |
320 |
0.895 |
$286.40 |
$1.60 |
+0.6% |
| Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? |
No |
320 |
0.890 |
$284.80 |
$28.80 |
+11.2% |
| Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.925 |
$277.50 |
$13.50 |
+5.1% |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? |
No |
320 |
0.860 |
$275.20 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.680 |
$272.12 |
$-35.99 |
-11.7% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
320 |
0.850 |
$272.00 |
$3.20 |
+1.2% |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
381 |
0.685 |
$260.70 |
$6.16 |
+2.4% |