PnL (30d)

−$14

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$37

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

78W / 163L · 308 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

228W / 314L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

549

across 48 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

−$1.17

avg win $8 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.73

$38 won / $52 lost

Reward / Risk

1.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.5% 1,958W/1,571L	330	$256,321
🏛 Politics	—	2	$193
🎬 Culture	—	2	$196
⚽ Sports	—	2	$194

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	37,000	0.961	$35,538.27	$2,197.64	+6.6%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	200	0.915	$183.00	$-2.00	-1.1%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	200	0.875	$174.58	$1.31	+0.8%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	100	0.999	$99.86	$0.85	+0.9%
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	100	0.990	$98.95	$0.05	+0.1%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	100	0.988	$98.75	$-0.05	-0.1%
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	100	0.988	$98.75	$0.05	+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.987	$98.65	$0.05	+0.1%
Will Otto Lopez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	100	0.987	$98.65	$-0.15	-0.2%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	100	0.989	$98.57	$-0.05	-0.1%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	99	0.989	$97.88	$-0.05	-0.1%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	99	0.987	$97.87	$-0.22	-0.2%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	99	0.989	$97.86	$-0.05	-0.1%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	99	0.987	$97.67	$-0.05	-0.1%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	100	0.968	$96.75	$-0.05	-0.1%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	99	0.970	$96.35	$-0.55	-0.6%
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	100	0.905	$90.50	$-0.50	-0.5%
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	78	0.960	$75.24	$-0.01	-0.0%
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	65	0.957	$61.81	$-0.29	-0.5%
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?	No	61	0.990	$60.36	$0.09	+0.1%
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	No	18	0.890	$15.75	$-0.71	-4.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	5	0.960	$4.76	$-0.00	-0.1%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	4	0.971	$3.85	$-0.08	-2.1%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	3	0.999	$2.94	$0.02	+0.7%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	2	0.997	$2.33	$0.01	+0.5%