| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
35 |
0.865 |
$30.13 |
$1.33 |
+4.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.959 |
$9.04 |
$0.08 |
+0.9% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
9 |
0.987 |
$9.00 |
$0.05 |
+0.6% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.994 |
$8.66 |
$0.04 |
+0.5% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
9 |
0.903 |
$8.24 |
$0.14 |
+1.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
6 |
0.987 |
$5.79 |
$0.21 |
+3.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
4 |
0.997 |
$4.31 |
$0.01 |
+0.3% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.989 |
$3.74 |
$0.37 |
+11.1% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.915 |
$3.25 |
$-0.02 |
-0.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
3 |
0.982 |
$3.20 |
$0.22 |
+7.5% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
9 |
0.356 |
$3.07 |
$-1.92 |
-38.5% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.964 |
$3.01 |
$0.37 |
+13.8% |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.961 |
$2.87 |
$0.02 |
+0.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.945 |
$2.62 |
$0.04 |
+1.6% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.976 |
$2.19 |
$0.05 |
+2.5% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
2 |
0.885 |
$2.00 |
$-0.03 |
-1.7% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.945 |
$1.86 |
$0.07 |
+4.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.955 |
$1.86 |
$0.01 |
+0.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.999 |
$1.81 |
$0.01 |
+0.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.985 |
$1.76 |
$-0.00 |
-0.2% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.955 |
$1.56 |
$0.02 |
+1.6% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.915 |
$1.29 |
$-0.04 |
-2.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.935 |
$1.28 |
$-0.01 |
-0.5% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.974 |
$1.26 |
$0.03 |
+2.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
1 |
0.985 |
$1.14 |
$0.03 |
+2.5% |