| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
8,223 |
0.786 |
$6,467.62 |
$1,119.91 |
+20.9% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
Yes |
12,493 |
0.340 |
$4,247.69 |
$1,118.54 |
+35.7% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
8,219 |
0.460 |
$3,776.40 |
$-1,230.11 |
-24.6% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
4,162 |
0.886 |
$3,689.54 |
$3,310.81 |
+874.2% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
5,500 |
0.375 |
$2,062.50 |
$192.50 |
+10.3% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? |
Yes |
2,332 |
0.825 |
$1,923.83 |
$388.83 |
+25.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
6,923 |
0.259 |
$1,789.70 |
$193.54 |
+12.1% |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
2,180 |
0.780 |
$1,701.57 |
$295.44 |
+21.0% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
No |
4,425 |
0.345 |
$1,526.03 |
$906.33 |
+146.3% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
5,500 |
0.255 |
$1,402.49 |
$-362.47 |
-20.5% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
4,189 |
0.235 |
$984.40 |
$21.50 |
+2.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.145 |
$869.99 |
$-450.00 |
-34.1% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
10,400 |
0.075 |
$780.00 |
$-260.00 |
-25.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.145 |
$725.00 |
$-75.00 |
-9.4% |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? |
No |
5,305 |
0.120 |
$636.63 |
$-156.06 |
-19.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
1,000 |
0.545 |
$544.99 |
$145.00 |
+36.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10,661 |
0.036 |
$389.14 |
$-595.99 |
-60.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.075 |
$375.00 |
$-104.80 |
-21.8% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,092 |
0.146 |
$306.50 |
$166.32 |
+118.7% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
201 |
0.974 |
$195.77 |
$51.05 |
+35.3% |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by August 7? |
Yes |
195 |
0.995 |
$193.81 |
$10.24 |
+5.6% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.340 |
$169.99 |
$81.99 |
+93.2% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
No |
3,987 |
0.042 |
$167.46 |
$-280.04 |
-62.6% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.105 |
$157.50 |
$-7.50 |
-4.5% |
| Eric Adams charged by December 31? |
Yes |
520 |
0.240 |
$124.80 |
$-29.79 |
-19.3% |