PnL (30d)

−$7

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$113

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 18L · 432 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

236W / 211L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

450

across 38 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

−$3.75

· loss $4

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $7 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/18L	38	$5,324
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	12	$500
⚽ Sports	—	8	$526
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	6	$299
🤖 Tech	—	2	$103
₿ Crypto	—	1	$41

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	342	0.440	$150.47	$-0.01	-0.0%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	373	0.395	$147.17	$5.65	+4.0%
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	381	0.294	$112.13	$-20.99	-15.8%
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	445	0.165	$73.45	$-96.14	-56.7%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	374	0.125	$46.79	$-5.58	-10.6%
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	362	0.115	$41.63	$6.25	+17.7%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	384	0.095	$36.46	$-3.07	-7.8%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	334	0.075	$25.07	$4.00	+19.0%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	301	0.044	$13.22	$-14.65	-52.6%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	362	0.035	$12.48	$-33.08	-72.6%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	81	0.128	$10.33	$0.40	+4.0%
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	95	0.095	$9.06	$-0.48	-5.1%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	280	0.029	$8.26	$-0.34	-3.9%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	40	0.165	$6.66	$-0.20	-3.0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	281	0.024	$6.59	$-0.42	-6.0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	80	0.065	$5.16	$-0.36	-6.5%
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	41	0.089	$3.64	$-0.08	-2.1%
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	Yes	30	0.100	$2.95	$-0.74	-20.1%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	497	0.005	$2.73	$0.13	+4.9%
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	Yes	9	0.037	$0.33	$-0.12	-26.0%