| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
95,000 |
0.790 |
$75,097.50 |
$27,597.50 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
95,000 |
0.209 |
$19,902.50 |
$-27,597.50 |
-58.1% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
8,500 |
0.935 |
$7,947.49 |
$105.03 |
+1.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5,700 |
0.935 |
$5,329.48 |
$192.51 |
+3.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
3,972 |
1.000 |
$3,969.89 |
$5.96 |
+0.2% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
3,096 |
0.987 |
$3,053.89 |
$131.39 |
+4.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.865 |
$2,595.04 |
$150.01 |
+6.1% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,522 |
0.955 |
$2,408.57 |
$32.61 |
+1.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
2,609 |
0.845 |
$2,204.93 |
$261.56 |
+13.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.998 |
$1,996.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
2,001 |
0.963 |
$1,925.97 |
$17.10 |
+0.9% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
1,925 |
1.000 |
$1,923.94 |
$241.24 |
+14.3% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.961 |
$1,922.01 |
$-6.00 |
-0.3% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.955 |
$1,909.00 |
$14.00 |
+0.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
1,907 |
0.885 |
$1,688.02 |
$110.16 |
+7.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
2,345 |
0.675 |
$1,582.58 |
$247.18 |
+18.5% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
1,501 |
0.955 |
$1,433.69 |
$7.51 |
+0.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,400 |
0.885 |
$1,239.26 |
$11.00 |
+0.9% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
1,200 |
0.944 |
$1,132.20 |
$1.40 |
+0.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
1,791 |
0.620 |
$1,110.57 |
$205.99 |
+22.8% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
No |
1,185 |
0.935 |
$1,108.25 |
$13.34 |
+1.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.961 |
$960.61 |
$4.50 |
+0.5% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,001 |
0.915 |
$915.65 |
$27.01 |
+3.0% |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
910 |
0.978 |
$889.52 |
$24.04 |
+2.8% |
| Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026? |
No |
941 |
0.880 |
$828.48 |
$47.12 |
+6.0% |