PnL (30d)

+$35

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

15W / 28L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

28W / 30L

Trades (30d)

58

across 32 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$1.28

avg win $17 · loss $9

Profit Factor

1.23

$186 won / $152 lost

Reward / Risk

1.79

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	34.9% 15W/28L	32	$1,356
🏛 Politics	100.0% 4W/0L	6	$344
🎬 Culture	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$5
⚽ Sports	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	50	0.996	$49.80	$0.70	+1.4%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	47	0.960	$44.95	$2.66	+6.3%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	45	0.997	$44.84	$1.04	+2.4%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	10	0.959	$9.96	$0.72	+7.8%