| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
264 |
0.885 |
$233.64 |
$22.50 |
+10.7% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
220 |
0.740 |
$162.44 |
$43.79 |
+36.9% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? |
No |
92 |
0.960 |
$88.32 |
$9.47 |
+12.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.775 |
$77.50 |
$4.14 |
+5.6% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
75 |
0.905 |
$67.88 |
$-0.23 |
-0.3% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.845 |
$67.59 |
$5.55 |
+8.9% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? |
No |
56 |
0.900 |
$50.40 |
$5.46 |
+12.1% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
53 |
0.925 |
$49.02 |
$2.44 |
+5.2% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
53 |
0.915 |
$48.49 |
$5.88 |
+13.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
84 |
0.545 |
$45.78 |
$6.19 |
+15.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Yes |
75 |
0.570 |
$42.74 |
$-11.96 |
-21.9% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.967 |
$38.66 |
$2.66 |
+7.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
45 |
0.790 |
$35.55 |
$-4.50 |
-11.2% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
83 |
0.415 |
$34.45 |
$9.95 |
+40.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
186 |
0.185 |
$34.41 |
$-1.16 |
-3.3% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
54 |
0.560 |
$30.24 |
$-4.61 |
-13.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
35 |
0.835 |
$29.23 |
$2.42 |
+9.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
30 |
0.925 |
$27.75 |
$12.15 |
+77.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
Yes |
69 |
0.375 |
$25.88 |
$-7.35 |
-22.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31? |
No |
28 |
0.820 |
$22.96 |
$3.64 |
+18.8% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
113 |
0.195 |
$22.04 |
$0.34 |
+1.5% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
75 |
0.290 |
$21.75 |
$-0.75 |
-3.3% |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? |
Yes |
32 |
0.670 |
$21.44 |
$2.25 |
+11.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
82 |
0.261 |
$21.36 |
$-1.40 |
-6.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
40 |
0.455 |
$18.20 |
$-1.30 |
-6.7% |