| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
2,330 |
0.555 |
$1,293.28 |
$29.25 |
+2.3% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,938 |
0.555 |
$1,075.66 |
$44.71 |
+4.3% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
7,821 |
0.135 |
$1,055.88 |
$-353.50 |
-25.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
3,766 |
0.278 |
$1,045.07 |
$352.93 |
+51.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
754 |
0.956 |
$720.45 |
$-0.29 |
-0.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
4,345 |
0.135 |
$584.42 |
$206.55 |
+54.7% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
967 |
0.460 |
$444.18 |
$47.68 |
+12.0% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
Yes |
869 |
0.485 |
$421.38 |
$-18.82 |
-4.3% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
409 |
0.993 |
$405.84 |
$6.74 |
+1.7% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
413 |
0.790 |
$326.48 |
$2.23 |
+0.7% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? |
No |
332 |
0.904 |
$300.24 |
$85.94 |
+40.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
2,066 |
0.135 |
$278.93 |
$-109.08 |
-28.1% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? |
No |
267 |
0.964 |
$257.04 |
$33.41 |
+14.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,385 |
0.184 |
$255.53 |
$-90.44 |
-26.1% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.? |
No |
267 |
0.910 |
$243.35 |
$0.49 |
+0.2% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? |
No |
229 |
0.900 |
$206.19 |
$-0.57 |
-0.3% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
200 |
0.986 |
$197.10 |
$-0.90 |
-0.5% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
200 |
0.912 |
$182.50 |
$-5.30 |
-2.8% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? |
No |
217 |
0.815 |
$176.99 |
$29.79 |
+20.2% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
5,116 |
0.035 |
$176.49 |
$-183.08 |
-50.9% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? |
No |
184 |
0.895 |
$164.27 |
$0.84 |
+0.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,400 |
0.117 |
$163.10 |
$-65.50 |
-28.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
511 |
0.298 |
$152.54 |
$106.62 |
+232.1% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
149 |
0.975 |
$145.20 |
$0.82 |
+0.6% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? |
No |
153 |
0.845 |
$129.06 |
$10.75 |
+9.1% |