| Will Ethereal launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.880 |
$21.01 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 6? |
No |
32 |
0.645 |
$20.32 |
$-1.73 |
-7.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat? |
No |
21 |
0.825 |
$17.32 |
$-0.52 |
-2.9% |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $160 in August? |
Yes |
30 |
0.575 |
$17.25 |
$1.05 |
+6.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 6? |
No |
21 |
0.735 |
$15.44 |
$-0.10 |
-0.7% |
| Government shutdown by October 1? |
No |
20 |
0.770 |
$15.40 |
$-0.20 |
-1.3% |
| Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
No |
19 |
0.740 |
$13.98 |
$-1.51 |
-9.8% |
| Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas? |
No |
20 |
0.680 |
$13.61 |
$-2.80 |
-17.1% |
| Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
41 |
0.285 |
$11.68 |
$-2.26 |
-16.2% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.600 |
$10.10 |
$-0.51 |
-4.8% |
| Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? |
No |
19 |
0.500 |
$9.50 |
$-1.52 |
-13.8% |
| Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)? |
Yes |
20 |
0.456 |
$9.11 |
$8.49 |
+1369.4% |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.455 |
$9.10 |
$-0.10 |
-1.1% |
| Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? |
Yes |
20 |
0.420 |
$8.40 |
$2.80 |
+50.0% |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in July? |
No |
10 |
0.805 |
$8.05 |
$-0.25 |
-3.0% |
| Will Resident Evil Requiem win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? |
Yes |
20 |
0.390 |
$7.80 |
$5.20 |
+200.0% |
| Will Mixtape win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? |
Yes |
20 |
0.390 |
$7.79 |
$6.59 |
+549.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7? |
No |
11 |
0.580 |
$6.57 |
$-1.58 |
-19.4% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028? |
Yes |
20 |
0.295 |
$5.90 |
$-0.50 |
-7.8% |
| Will there be at least 2550 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.420 |
$4.84 |
$-3.69 |
-43.2% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028? |
No |
20 |
0.235 |
$4.70 |
$-13.30 |
-73.9% |
| Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? |
No |
5 |
0.875 |
$4.16 |
$0.87 |
+26.3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
4 |
0.935 |
$4.06 |
$0.67 |
+19.9% |
| Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
No |
4 |
0.940 |
$3.95 |
$0.17 |
+4.4% |
| Will Rome Seymour come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? |
Yes |
50 |
0.078 |
$3.90 |
$1.40 |
+56.0% |