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Trader leaderboard/Rafael88

Rafael88

0x720bd69011aa5a9ef7846e88648218a7b33d37f6
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 1L
Trades (30d)
1
across 1 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $18,215 · all-time $1,166,108

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 100.0% 1W/0L 18 $10,657
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 14 $5,904
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $588
🌤 Weather 1 $10
🔬 Science 1 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 3,812 0.785 $2,992.37 $1,903.36 +174.8%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 905 0.853 $771.70 $16.26 +2.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 137 0.835 $114.48 $3.90 +3.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes 322 0.350 $112.76 $0.00 +0.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 268 0.300 $80.40 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? Yes 231 0.345 $79.81 $7.09 +9.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 434 0.155 $67.19 $-5.19 -7.2%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes 1,527 0.033 $49.63 $-26.32 -34.6%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? Yes 85 0.389 $33.05 $2.39 +7.8%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 10 0.962 $9.62 $-0.03 -0.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 5 0.945 $4.37 $0.37 +9.2%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.910 $3.65 $0.10 +2.9%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 2 0.855 $1.64 $0.03 +1.8%