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Trader leaderboard/pako

pako

0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$121,938
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$11,785
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
1%
2W / 252L · 145 open
Win Return (30d)
1%
2W / 397L
Trades (30d)
399
across 6 markets · ~66 per market
EV / position
−$30,484.56
avg win $1,554 · loss $41,164
Profit Factor
0.01
$1,554 won / $123,492 lost
Reward / Risk
0.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,867
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $92,118 · all-time $19,028,164

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 0.8% 2W/252L 13 $1,583,563
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/18L 4 $54,879
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/18L 4 $54,879

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

48 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 97,847 0.455 $44,520.27 $-7,793.20 -14.9%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 100,735 0.375 $37,775.63 $-30,951.74 -45.0%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 25,773 0.823 $21,198.17 $14,306.48 +207.6%
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No 6,851 0.915 $6,268.92 $15.63 +0.2%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No 6,852 0.904 $6,193.94 $2,340.37 +60.7%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No 5,347 0.938 $5,012.47 $873.50 +21.1%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 4,219 0.853 $3,596.83 $452.55 +14.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 13,818 0.165 $2,280.03 $-6,809.89 -74.9%
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No 1,652 0.955 $1,577.23 $25.04 +1.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 15,000 0.085 $1,275.00 $-5,474.99 -81.1%
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No 1,023 0.933 $954.06 $34.04 +3.7%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? Yes 576 0.935 $538.24 $50.51 +10.4%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No 1,167 0.420 $490.27 $-434.10 -47.0%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes 10,040 0.046 $466.85 $-1,418.35 -75.2%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 828 0.535 $443.19 $-230.81 -34.2%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? No 252 0.994 $250.50 $44.96 +21.9%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? Yes 714 0.325 $231.95 $-17.84 -7.1%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No 234 0.945 $220.80 $48.00 +27.8%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 561 0.275 $154.21 $-49.92 -24.5%
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No 156 0.925 $144.11 $19.26 +15.4%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes 1,140 0.115 $131.05 $-141.55 -51.9%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes 245 0.530 $130.03 $29.44 +29.3%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,277 0.075 $95.74 $-383.89 -80.0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.485 $48.50 $-22.50 -31.7%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 255 0.145 $36.97 $-121.52 -76.7%