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divinets

0x71d0ad0fbe3e506d89c13c99a33f674120aab8dd
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$5
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
3W / 15L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
21%
5W / 19L
Trades (30d)
24
across 6 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$1.82
avg win $4 · loss $2
Profit Factor
3.55
$8 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
1.78
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $774 · all-time $73,410

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 68.6% 221W/101L 88 $1,929
⚽ Sports 100.0% 17W/0L 6 $95
🎬 Culture 5 $77
🏛 Politics 2 $13
🌤 Weather 2 $74
🔬 Science 2 $74
💵 Economy 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes 35 0.340 $12.00 $5.16 +75.5%
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027? Yes 26 0.335 $8.69 $0.40 +4.9%
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes 30 0.255 $7.65 $-1.35 -15.0%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? No 5 0.835 $4.43 $-0.26 -5.5%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid? No 10 0.225 $2.25 $-0.75 -25.2%
Will Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? Yes 61 0.025 $1.49 $-0.33 -18.0%
Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? Yes 87 0.013 $1.17 $-15.83 -93.1%
Will Mike Pressler win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year? Yes 40 0.021 $0.84 $0.04 +5.0%
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? Yes 30 0.013 $0.40 $-2.60 -86.5%
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by September 30? Yes 3 0.095 $0.24 $-0.01 -5.0%
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 100 0.001 $0.05 $-0.15 -75.0%
Will Sentinels Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026? Yes 1 0.015 $0.01 $-0.01 -25.0%