LeonMusk
0x71b1e39cd44878c76074af783c8065210e41ac2c
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$27
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-32.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
25%
5W / 15L
Win Return (30d)
25%
5W / 15L
Trades (30d)
20
across 13 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$2.06
avg win $8 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.53
$30 won / $57 lost
Reward / Risk
1.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$21
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $140 · all-time $555,059
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.220 |
$13.20 |
$-1.55 |
-10.5% |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.205 |
$7.17 |
$-3.66 |
-33.8% |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.150 |
$6.00 |
$-4.70 |
-43.9% |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.635 |
$3.17 |
$-0.17 |
-5.2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? |
No |
30 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-1.88 |
-99.2% |