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Trader leaderboard/Poivre

Poivre

0x714f682e577a6892ee921290fd6ad213d11266d5
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$342
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$425
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-23.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
6%
1W / 17L · 26 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
17W / 26L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
44
across 29 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$28.54
avg win $14 · loss $32
Profit Factor
0.04
$14 won / $356 lost
Reward / Risk
0.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$30
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,077 · all-time $611,165

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 22.3% 33W/115L 147 $11,717
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 10 $1,201
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 4 $135
🤖 Tech 1 $138

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

111 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 3,000 0.360 $1,080.00 $-614.99 -36.3%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No 3,921 0.210 $823.46 $323.25 +64.6%
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? Yes 402 0.830 $333.44 $46.47 +16.2%
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 400 0.745 $298.34 $190.22 +175.9%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes 450 0.615 $276.75 $155.81 +128.8%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 400 0.690 $275.96 $170.10 +160.7%
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 334 0.755 $252.53 $180.38 +250.0%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No 300 0.835 $250.50 $19.50 +8.4%
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 396 0.625 $247.62 $167.40 +208.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.245 $245.05 $-177.72 -42.0%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 400 0.605 $241.82 $55.52 +29.8%
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 305 0.790 $240.82 $158.52 +192.6%
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? Yes 615 0.390 $240.03 $99.13 +70.4%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Yes 855 0.277 $236.41 $115.43 +95.4%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No 300 0.785 $235.50 $106.73 +82.9%
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? No 250 0.885 $221.25 $188.75 +580.8%
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes 800 0.275 $220.00 $29.60 +15.5%
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 500 0.414 $207.44 $53.69 +34.9%
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? No 264 0.775 $204.60 $135.06 +194.2%
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 197 0.995 $196.11 $136.11 +226.9%
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 713 0.275 $195.99 $115.93 +144.8%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 250 0.745 $186.25 $56.25 +43.3%
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? No 313 0.595 $186.10 $116.45 +167.2%
Blue wave in 2026? No 700 0.255 $178.50 $88.96 +99.4%
Spain snap election called in 2026? No 225 0.780 $175.19 $23.37 +15.4%