0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29
0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2,884
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$175
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
62W / 32L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
69W / 32L
Trades (30d)
101
across 9 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
−$360.50
avg win $797 · loss $8,465
Profit Factor
0.66
$5,581 won / $8,465 lost
Reward / Risk
0.09
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8,465
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $152,167 · all-time $21,607,764
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
9,003 |
0.625 |
$5,626.69 |
$-505.00 |
-8.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
22,502 |
0.195 |
$4,387.90 |
$-9,771.99 |
-69.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
Yes |
289 |
0.850 |
$246.07 |
$17.51 |
+7.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
285 |
0.780 |
$222.27 |
$45.92 |
+26.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
963 |
0.013 |
$13.00 |
$-49.53 |
-79.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
10,004 |
0.001 |
$5.00 |
$-2,201.06 |
-99.8% |