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Trader

0x70fcf41f592c6f1ee8fc0fd45e9bf609fcc288c1
PnL (30d)
+$1
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
5W / 10L · 35 open
Win Return (30d)
32%
16W / 34L
Trades (30d)
50
across 47 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.10
avg win $3 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.10
$16 won / $14 lost
Reward / Risk
2.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,160 · all-time $19,464

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.3% 5W/10L 47 $66
💵 Economy 20.0% 1W/4L 16 $16
🏛 Politics 6 $6
₿ Crypto 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

103 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? Yes 14 0.962 $13.74 $12.74 +1273.6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 17 0.465 $8.09 $5.09 +169.8%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? No 38 0.115 $4.31 $1.31 +43.8%
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No 4 0.805 $2.87 $0.87 +43.7%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 4 0.685 $2.85 $1.85 +185.4%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 3 0.886 $2.53 $0.53 +26.6%
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? Yes 24 0.104 $2.47 $0.47 +23.7%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes 4 0.560 $2.38 $0.38 +19.2%
Japan recession in 2026? Yes 8 0.300 $2.38 $-0.62 -20.8%
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes 8 0.295 $2.28 $-1.72 -43.0%
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? No 3 0.725 $2.20 $0.20 +9.8%
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July? Yes 430 0.005 $2.15 $1.15 +115.2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 9 0.225 $2.05 $0.05 +2.5%
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.344 $2.02 $1.02 +102.3%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 4 0.485 $2.02 $1.02 +102.1%
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement? Yes 154 0.013 $2.00 $1.00 +100.4%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? No 4 0.485 $1.94 $0.94 +94.0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 10 0.195 $1.92 $-1.58 -45.1%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? Yes 9 0.210 $1.92 $-0.08 -4.2%
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? Yes 32 0.059 $1.90 $-0.10 -5.1%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? No 18 0.100 $1.81 $-0.19 -9.7%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes 3 0.580 $1.66 $0.66 +65.7%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 2 0.695 $1.54 $0.54 +53.7%
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? No 14 0.111 $1.50 $-0.50 -25.1%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 4 0.415 $1.48 $0.48 +48.2%