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Trader leaderboard/TANGO853

TANGO853

0x70ca9b799d7e6f83e6d443fa6430eeb160b22443
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$53
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$408
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
71%
5W / 2L · 68 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
25W / 50L
Trades (30d)
75
across 24 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$13.21
avg win $16 · loss $43
Profit Factor
0.38
$33 won / $86 lost
Reward / Risk
0.38
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $703,448

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.6% 142W/109L 113 $19,608
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 3 $183
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $25
🎬 Culture 1 $9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

46 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 2,000 0.254 $508.00 $-132.00 -20.6%
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes 5,001 0.069 $342.60 $-172.80 -33.5%
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,000 0.170 $339.95 $-12.40 -3.5%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 1,500 0.145 $217.50 $-77.00 -26.1%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 13,533 0.015 $209.76 $-6.77 -3.1%
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes 1,488 0.105 $156.24 $-291.09 -65.1%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 10,410 0.015 $150.94 $-6.67 -4.2%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 15,618 0.009 $148.37 $-23.43 -13.6%
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes 3,000 0.046 $139.50 $-33.38 -19.3%
New pandemic in 2026? Yes 2,077 0.065 $135.03 $-61.93 -31.4%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 202 0.625 $126.31 $11.07 +9.6%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,110 0.052 $110.78 $0.97 +0.9%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes 500 0.215 $107.50 $-125.50 -53.9%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes 1,000 0.105 $105.00 $-33.00 -23.9%
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes 205 0.495 $101.47 $21.52 +26.9%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 256 0.365 $93.51 $-7.94 -7.8%
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,500 0.060 $90.00 $-180.98 -66.8%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,039 0.086 $88.81 $17.91 +25.3%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 1,000 0.080 $80.00 $-138.54 -63.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 500 0.155 $77.50 $-57.50 -42.6%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 502 0.150 $75.52 $-28.65 -27.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 518 0.143 $74.30 $1.30 +1.8%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 102 0.555 $56.49 $-0.51 -0.9%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,039 0.050 $51.45 $-4.61 -8.2%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 1,217 0.037 $45.64 $-28.27 -38.2%